Starter Guides

Forecasting Wiki’s How to Start Forecasting

https://forecasting.wiki/wiki/How_to_Start_Forecasting

Foretold’s Intro to Forecasting

https://www.foretold.io/c/a30a859c-2131-4703-9368-2f7c7372fdd4/n/48f6e50a-68d9-4fe6-a8f2-27d5a627dc66

Educational Content

Good Judgement Course

https://good-judgment.thinkific.com/courses/Superforecasting-Fundamentals

Intro to Forecasting

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4K6kMBfuK2kdCdIqTs40t7NsQfBCwPIC

Edge Masterclass

https://www.edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-edge-master-class-2015-a-short-course-in-superforecasting-class-i

Hypermind Crowd Forecasting Masterclass

https://www.hypermind.com/en/great-forecasting-with-collective-intelligence/

arete Prediction Bootcamp

https://pytho.teachable.com/p/prediction

Link Hubs

Forecasting Wiki

https://forecasting.wiki/wiki/Main_Page

EA Forum Forecasting Topic Page

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/forecasting

Media

Forecasting Newsletter (recently ended)

https://forecasting.substack.com/

The main forecasting book

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_Science_of_Prediction

Review of the main forecasting book

https://aiimpacts.org/evidence-on-good-forecasting-practices-from-the-good-judgment-project-an-accompanying-blog-post/ - analysis of book

Global Guessing Podcasts (no longer producing more content)

https://globalguessing.com/podcasts/

YouTube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=awb7SqakmUk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3r9yag1CY0E

Forecasting Sites

Metaculus

https://www.metaculus.com/

Good Judgement Open

https://www.gjopen.com/

INFER

https://www.infer-pub.com/

Foretold

https://www.foretold.io/c/home

Kalshi

https://kalshi.com/

Predictit

https://www.predictit.org/

Polymarket

https://docs.polymarket.com/

Manifold Markets

https://manifold.markets/

Replication Markets

https://replicationmarkets.com/

Betfair

https://www.betfair.com/

Companies

Good Judgement

https://goodjudgment.com/

Sibylink

https://www.sibylink.com/

QURI

https://quantifieduncertainty.org/

Pytho

https://www.pytho.io/

Tools

Guesstimate

https://www.getguesstimate.com/

Confido

https://confido.institute/

Spose

https://spose.app/

Metaforecast

https://metaforecast.org/

Ought

https://ought.org/

Prediction Book

https://predictionbook.com/

Miscellaneous

Metaculus question writing

https://www.metaculus.com/question-writing/

Forecasting Journal Articles

https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/rzeckhauser/files/value_of_precision.pdf